In The News

The National speaks with Le Beck on Pompeo’s Middle East tour

“The withdrawal means that this option is off the table and the GCC now has to revert to a Plan B, namely, trying to drive a wedge between Damascus and Tehran. Whether they will be able to do so is far from certain and I think Gulf countries are realistic about what they can achieve given Iran’s deep penetration in the Assad regime,” said Michael Horowitz, deputy head of intelligence at Le Beck International.

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Le Beck speaks with BILD (DE) about Trump’s remarks on Iran’s presence in Syria

“Following Donald Trump’s statement on Wednesday that Iran can do what it wants to do in Syria”, Deputy Head of Intel Michael Horowitz explained, “Israel will have to accelerate its campaign against Iran and once again play up the possibility of an ‘escalation’ to get Moscow’s attention as Russia remains the last superpower standing in Syria”.

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L’Orient le Jour (FR) speaks with Le Beck about Israeli strikes in Syria

“Cooperation between Israel and the US after the withdrawal [from Syria] will certainly continue, but its value (in the eyes of the Israelis) will diminish. Without the presence of US forces (on the ground and in the air), the potential intelligence that Washington can provide will be of much lesser quality”, stated Deputy Head of Intel Michael Horowitz.

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Le Beck speaks with The Independent about Israeli strikes in Syria

“Israel is sending a message to Russia and Iran that the US withdrawal doesn’t mean that Israel can’t act in Syria, and that it shouldn’t be ignored,” Michael Horowitz, deputy director of intelligence for Lebeck International, a Gulf-based consultancy, told The Independent.

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Le Beck speaks to BILD (DE) about the US decision to leave Syria

Washington throws away a significant chance to have a say in the future of Syria”, explained Deputy Head of Intel Michael Horowitz, “while also encouraging an attack against their former ally in the war against ISIS and thus proving itself (once again) an unreliable ally”.

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Le Beck analyses the Yemen peace talks in The Geopolitics

Regional Security Analyst (RSA) Kierat Ranautta-Sambhi wrote about the continued obstacles to achieving lasting peace in Yemen for The Geopolitics.

“While the resumption of peace talks in Sweden illuminated a ray of hope for a diplomatic/political route to ending the conflict in Yemen, there’s still a long way to go to achieving peace in the country.

It’s crucial to remember that the Sweden talks were only “consultations”, intended to establish “confidence-building measures” ahead of any actual peace negotiations. The warring parties’ ability to make some progress doesn’t necessarily bode well for any future peace talks on issues of substance.”

Read the full analysis here

The Washington Post speaks to Le Beck about Israel’s op against Hezbollah tunnels

“We’re clearly hearing some form of domestic political messaging,” said Michael Horowitz, a senior analyst at the Middle ­East-based security consultancy Le Beck International. “Israel has known about these tunnels for years, and while the timing also makes sense regionally, it certainly helps Netanyahu turn the page of the recent confrontation in Gaza that almost brought the Israeli government down.”

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Le Beck speaks to The National on Bahrain’s elections

“These elections, therefore, are a test to see how willing the majority Shiite population is to participate despite the opposition boycott and the steps taken by the government against such groups in recent years,” said Miriam Goldman Eps, Head of Intelligence at Le Beck, a consultancy group based in Bahrain.

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Le Beck talks to The Telegraph on the escalation in Gaza

The rapid firing of rockets appeared to be an effort to overwhelm Israel’s Iron Dome missile system, which has been successful in intercepting rockets from Gaza. Israel said the Iron Dome intercepted 60 rockets, while many of the others fell in open areas.

“This is the most intense barrage since 2014 in terms of number of rockets fired in a short time,” said Michael Horowitz, deputy head of intelligence at the Le Beck analysis firm.

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Libération (FR) talks to Le Beck on the Gaza-Israel escalation

Le porte-parole de l’armée euphémise : «Les forces spéciales ont conduit une opération longue et rencontré une réalité complexe.» La directive Hannibal, qui permet l’usage massif de la force lors du rapt d’un soldat, au risque (voire dans le but) de le tuer pour éviter qu’il devienne une monnaie d’échange, a-t-elle été appliquée, alors qu’elle est censément abandonnée depuis 2016 ? «Fort possible, mais il n’y aura jamais de confirmation, c’est totalement tabou en Israël», note l’analyste franco-israélien Michael Horowitz.

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